How Hard Is It to Get into Medical School? Depends on Your Ethnicity

A common question many medical school applicants ask is, “How hard is it to get into medical school?”

According to the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC), there were 42,742 applicants vying for a spot in the entering class of 2010 – 2011. Each applicant sent out an average of 14 applications. And even with all that work, only 40-something percent of the applicants were accepted into medical school.

So my answer is that getting into medical school is pretty darn difficult.

If you take a look at the medical school requirements page, you can see that I recommend a GPA of at least 3.5 and a MCAT score of at least 30. With these scores, you should have a chance to get into medical school.

However, your chance for getting in also depends on the color of your skin.

Medical School Looks at Your GPA, MCAT Score, and … Ethnicity?!

I have always had a suspicion that the standards are not universal, but instead, adjusted to which group or ethnicity an applicant fits into. I do not expect medical schools to blatantly say, “If you are a minority, we make it easier for you to get in. If you are not a minority, we make it tougher for you to get in.” That would not be very good for public relations. But never in my life would I have expected the data to be out in the open. But it is!

AAMC has provided data on medical school applicants’ GPA, MCAT score, and ethnicity. (As of May 2012, the data are for 2009 – 2011. If you access the link at the later date, the years and the subsequent data may have changed.) AAMC did not right-out say that minorities have lower standards for admissions (it does not have one table comparing all the different ethnicities), but it gives data to arrive at that conclusion.

What Are Your Chances with a GPA of 3.5 and a MCAT Score of 30?

The very first thing I did was to compare the acceptance rates of each ethnicity with a GPA of 3.5 and a MCAT score of 30. I am recommending these as the minimum acceptable numbers, but how effective are they? The results are actually quite shocking.

how hard is it to get into medical school - table 1

Various minorities are American Indian, Alaska Native, Black, or Hispanic.

Table 1 – Acceptance Rate by Ethnicity for Applicants with GPA of 3.40 – 3.59 and MCAT of 30 – 32 for 2009 – 2011

If you are black, you are pretty much guaranteed a spot in medical school. But if you are Asian, your chance of getting in could very well be based on the flip of a coin. Heads, you are accepted. Tails, you are rejected.

For some reason, Asians have a slightly worse probably of getting in compared to Whites. My guess is that a disproportionally large amount of Asians (compared to its makeup of the general population) is applying to medical school. So if Asians make up 10% of the total US population, maybe 20% of the total applications come from Asians.

So I quickly jumped to the US Census Bureau and found the percentage each ethnicity makes up in the total US population in 2010. I then compared that to the percentage each ethnicity makes up in medical school applications.

how hard is it to get into medical school - table 2

Table 2 – Percent of Population vs Percent of Applicants by Ethnicity

As I suspected, a disproportionate amount of Asians are applying to medical schools. They make up less than 5% of the population and yet comprises of more than 20% of the medical school applicants! Hispanics are very under-represented in terms of medical school applicants.

Are Medical Schools Reluctant to Accept Asians?

Since so many Asians are applying, medical schools are in a quandary. Should they make it very hard for Asians to get in, so the percentage of Asian US medical students reflects that of the US population? Or should they take the applicants regardless of color?

To determine the answer to the question, I looked at the acceptance rate of each group, which is shown below:

how hard is it to get into medical school - table 3

Table 3 – Acceptance Rate by Ethnicity for 2009 – 2011

It seems that the acceptance rate of each ethnicity is roughly the same, 40-something percent. Medical schools are not reluctant to accept Asians. If medical schools wanted the student population to reflect the US population, Asian acceptance rates would be a lot lower than 40%. What is quite unexpected is that the lowest acceptance rate does not go to Asians, but to the Blacks.

Why Are Blacks Less Likely to Get into Medical School?

So far, it makes no sense. There is a disproportionately large amount of Asians applying to medical school. There is a disproportionately small amount of Blacks applying to medical school. And yet, Asians have a higher acceptance rate than blacks. Why?

I decided to look at the average (mode and median) GPA and MCAT score of each ethnicity. Maybe that will explain why.

how hard is it to get into medical school - table 4

Table 4 – Average (Mode) and Its Acceptance Rate by Ethnicity for 2009 – 2011

The mode is basically the largest group. So if there are three groups (A, B, and C), and if group A has 5 people, group B has 6 people, group C has 10 people, the mode is group C.

Based on the mode, Whites have the best scores and Blacks have the worst scores.

how hard is it to get into medical school - table 5

Table 5 – Average (Median) and Its Acceptance Rate by Ethnicity for 2009 – 2011

The median is basically the middle person. If one guy is 5 years old, another guy is 10 years old, and the last guy is 100 years old, the median age is 10 years old.

Based on the median, Asians and Whites have the best scores and again, Blacks have the worst scores.

If you take a look at the acceptance rates for both Table 4 and Table 5, you will see that on average, Blacks have a lower acceptance rate because of their poor scores.

This means that GPA and MCAT scores matter a lot. You cannot make up for it just by being a minority.

GPA and MCAT Score that Guarantees Acceptance

In Table 1, I have established that the acceptance rate depends not only on GPA and MCAT score but also on your ethnicity. Therefore, I am not satisfied with a 3.5 GPA and 30 MCAT as a baseline goal to get into medical school.

I want to give you a targeted goal, based upon which group you fall into. This goal will practically guarantee a spot in medical school. If you can hit these numbers, you have around 80% of getting accepted.

how hard is it to get into medical school - table 6

Table 6 – GPA and MCAT Goals (~ 80% Acceptance) by Ethnicity for 2009 – 2011

Based on this table, it is equally difficult for an Asian person and a White person to get into medical school. They need almost perfect scores if they want a guaranteed spot in medical school. Hispanics have it a little easier. And Blacks have the easiest standards of getting into medical school.

Affirmative Action at Play

In summary, getting into medical school depends on your GPA, MCAT score, and ethnicity. When you apply, you are not competing against everyone else. You are competing against your ethnic group. Asians compete against Asians. Blacks compete against Blacks. Hispanics compete against Hispanics. Whites compete against Whites.

Asians and White need higher grades to get in, while Blacks need lower grades to get in. However, grades cannot be too low or else the medical schools admissions committee will doubt the person can pass medical school. Hence, the overall acceptance rate for Blacks is lower than the others because their scores are much lower than the others.

In each group, medical schools will admit the top 40-something percent of the applicants. As long as you are within the top 40% of your ethnic group, you should get into medical school.

How hard is it to get into medical school? It depends.

This article is part of the Get into Medical School series. Click on the link if you want more tips and hints about getting accepted into medical school.


  1. Affirmative action needs to go away. Applications should not have the race, religion or gender. When I want a doctor I want the best people possible. I do not want someone who got in because standards were lower for them.
    I don’t care if this means if there are a disproportionate number of Asians and whites. Diversity for diversity sake is bad. Let the best candidate for the job get the job.
    Also the moral of this article is; Have an Asian Doctor!
    It is hardest for them to become doctors meaning they will be the most competent.

    • Alex Ding says:

      Hey Charles,

      I understand your point. But these days, everything is political. Affirmative action is a way for politicians to appease the masses. It sucks, but I doubt it’ll get changed.

      On the other hand, what is competency? Does high a MCAT score and GPA mean you’re going to be competent as a doctor? Not necessarily. To choose the best doctor, you’ll have to see how much passion he has for what he is doing. Does he treat it as a job or a life calling?

      • Not necessarily, but I feel it’s a great indicator! The interview process of the application attempts to seek into the intentions of the candidate.
        So, yes, I’d agree with Charles in that the moral of this article is to have an Asian Doctor. As a student at a respectable public university, it’s tough to see these numbers so incredibly skewed as they are…. I’d like to know more about how they (politicians) feel that this is fair.

      • Passion cannot replace competence. If it could, I would be playing second base in the major leagues.

      • I hope that my physician is competent, not simply enthusiastic

      • I understand the comment. However, what many people don’t understand is that we all have different life experiences. Most (not all) white students have their parents paying for college. Most minoroties have to work full time to pay for school, on top of the other med school related activities. If a minoroty person had a 3.6 GPA, and a good MCAT score, and good extracurriculars, they should be able to get into led school. Not everyone has the privilege of just having to go to college, study and worry about nothing more. Maybe that’s what should be taking into account, the individual’s students circumstances.

        • I’m not sure where you are getting the facts to back up your claims, Stefanie, but they couldn’t be reliable. Your interpretation that whites have the privilege of a carefree path shows a lack of insight and maturity. Life can be difficult whether you are black or white for many different reasons.

          As far as finances, I see most minorities getting much more financial aid and graduating with far less debt than their counterparts. I also know that most of my white friends graduated with huge debt so obviously their parents aren’t paying. How about all students graduate with the same debt burden since once they are out they will be making close to the same amount of money?

          • Brian,

            It seems like you are attacking her for having false information, but you have no clue what you are talking about. In 2012, and this was consistent in the previous years, 42% of students taking out debt was white, while almost 53% were black. Your friends do not account for America. Furthermore, without getting into the statistics, for I am not going out on a limb to say you are not a social scientist, the average white and black human male, while sharing the same mental facets, do not share the same social (family) support. This is profound. Thus, what affirmative action does is adjusts for this discrepancy. And, for everyone’s information. When two people enter medical school, they will have the same support, book and classes. Therefore, they will do the same. And, if you look at the statistics, blacks and white do the same in higher level college programs.

  2. Thanks for the research, It’s very helpful. I would love to know the breakdown of the schools. Which schools you sampled and which schools for each race to apply.

  3. Hi Alex,

    I am Active Duty Air Force, GPA 3.00 and under 20 on MCAT. I want to go to DO school. I have to meet the AF Board in November but prior to that I need an acceptance letter. I am currently working hard on my volunteer work, shadowing and research; but debating if I should apply for schools since I am trying to meet the board this year. I am also planning on retaking the MCAT in August.
    What do you recommend I do?


  4. Asains might have a harder time getting into medical school becuase English sometimes isn’t their first language.

    • Alex Ding says:

      Maybe. Maybe not. But even if an Asian person was fluent in English, he’ll still have a harder time … just because the standards for admission are higher.

  5. Benjamin Rinxy says:

    I have 3.5 gpa and 34 in mcat. I am an asian. Whats the chance for me to get in to university of Illinois at chicago medical school

  6. llama is my mama says:

    I would like to be a doc too

  7. Suiteisho says:

    Well if they actually get into med school wouldn’t their med-school GPA and match be a better indication of how competent they are? College GPA and MCAT scores only tell you how well they might do in med school, like how your high school GPA only tells you how well you might do in college (if you go).

  8. I’m a white Hispanic in which categorie would I be put?

  9. This is an interesting article but there there are some gaping holes is your stance. Here’s the actual way things are and you can search the data anywhere across the vast landscape of the internet to confirm it.

    1) Affirmative Action has historically benefitted Non-Hispanic White Females far greater than racial/ethnic minorities.

    It is interesting how you speak about the differential break down of medical school acceptances based on race, and then just throw affirmative action in at the end. Funny how ethnic minorities always become the scapegoat when the topic of affirmative action is discussed. Especially when they are not the groups that benefit the most from it at all. Please check your facts.

    2) You forget to mention how many of those med school acceptances for black students are due to historically black medical schools (e.g. Howard, Meharry, Morehouse)

    You mentioned that black students can have lower stats and then get accepted to medical school, but you never mention where the majority of black medical school enrollees are found. According to 2014 data from the AAMC, the total number of black medical school enrollees is 1,412. Additionally, the number of black medical school enrollees at all three historically black medical school combined (all of whom 95-99% of enrollees are black) is 1,174. If you do the math, that means that 83% of black medical students are found at historically black institutions (this takes into account your median and mode analysis), which have historically taken students with lower average GPAs and MCAT scores, and also of which the majority of applicants to these schools are black. So they’re not not even displacing asian or white students who don’t even apply to these school by and large.

    3) You never disaggregated Asians into East Asian, South Asian, Southeast Asian, Filipino, and Pacific Islanders.

    Many of these groups, beside East Asian and South Asian are also very underrepresented in medical schools and higher education, and medical schools often disaggregated the term Asian American/Pacific Islander in the admissions process. Moreover, banning affirmative action harms these underrepresented asian groups as well rather than helping them:

    4) Holistic Review by Medical Schools (which means doing interviews and secondaries) takes many forms of merit into account, and thus attenuates the affect of race in admission.

    All medical schools use numbers (i.e. GPA and MCAT) as screeners for who they’re going to send secondary applications and eventually interviews to. However all schools, as is laid out on their respective websites, identify specific forms of merit they are looking for in their students when deciding who gets in. For example, The University of Washington prides itself of being a heavy primary care and research institution, and thus it lays out clearly that it sends its students to Washington, Idaho, Montana, and Alaska during clinical years because it’s a heavy proponent of rural primary care. Therefore, if you have no interest in rural medicine or primary care, they may scratch their heads as to why you would apply. The same is true of institutions like Duke, which prides itself on research and commits all students to an independent research year before they graduate. So again, if you have no interest in research, or you don’t have it at all on your CV, you should think about this when you put a place like Duke on your list. And finally, the research has shown that there is a limit to how well GPA and MCAT can predict success as a physician; it all plateaus after a certain point.

    All in all, I love your website Alex, but I am disappointed in this page, as it is more opinion-based than data-driven and evidence-based.

    • Again, I have found this entire site incredibly helpful and it is only this one page in particular that I am in disagreement with.

  10. This article was given to me just today. I have been a witness to black students who had initially been a couple of tenths off by test or g.p.a., and barely made it in, but once they got in exceeded most of the students who were enrolled. There is a lot to be said about a strong, basic foundation for education (e.g. better schools, socio-economic status) and an equal jumping off point (and a society that tends to give preference to one group over another). But then, it is human nature to want to be “better than” someone else.

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